Simulation of academic performance rates, estimation of indicators of subjects and of a complete degree

González Fernández, María Camino and Mira McWilliams, José Manuel (2012). Simulation of academic performance rates, estimation of indicators of subjects and of a complete degree. In: "5th International Conference of Education, Research and Innovation (ICERI2012)", 19/11/2012 - 21/11/2012, Madrid, Spain. pp. 2740-2746.

Description

Title: Simulation of academic performance rates, estimation of indicators of subjects and of a complete degree
Author/s:
  • González Fernández, María Camino
  • Mira McWilliams, José Manuel
Item Type: Presentation at Congress or Conference (Article)
Event Title: 5th International Conference of Education, Research and Innovation (ICERI2012)
Event Dates: 19/11/2012 - 21/11/2012
Event Location: Madrid, Spain
Title of Book: 5th International Conference of Education, Research and Innovation (ICERI20129
Date: 2012
Subjects:
Freetext Keywords: Accreditation, Quality Processes, Curriculum Design
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Industriales (UPM)
Department: Ingeniería de Organización, Administración de Empresas y Estadística
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

Full text

[img]
Preview
PDF - Requires a PDF viewer, such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
Download (741kB) | Preview

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to present a program written in Matlab-Octave for the simulation of the time evolution of student curricula, i.e, how students pass their subjects along time until graduation. The program computes, from the simulations, the academic performance rates for the subjects of the study plan for each semester as well as the overall rates, which are a) the efficiency rate defined as the ratio of the number of students passing the exam to the number of students who registered for it and b) the success rate, defined as the ratio of the number of students passing the exam to the number of students who not only registered for it but also actually took it. Additionally, we compute the rates for the bachelor academic degree which are established for Spain by the National Quality Evaluation and Accreditation Agency (ANECA) and which are the graduation rate (measured as the percentage of students who finish as scheduled in the plan or taking an extra year) and the efficiency rate (measured as the percentage of credits which a student who graduated has really taken). The simulation is done in terms of the probabilities of passing all the subjects in their study plan. The application of the simulator to Polytech students in Madrid, where requirements for passing are specially stiff in first and second year subjects, is particularly relevant to analyze student cohorts and the probabilities of students finishing in the minimum of four years, or taking and extra year or two extra years, and so forth. It is a very useful tool when designing new study plans. The calculation of the probability distribution of the random variable "number of semesters a student has taken to complete the curricula and graduate" is difficult or even unfeasible to obtain analytically, and this is even truer when we incorporate uncertainty in parameter estimation. This is why we apply Monte Carlo simulation which not only provides illustration of the stochastic process but also a method for computation. The stochastic simulator is proving to be a useful tool for identification of the subjects most critical in the distribution of the number of semesters for curriculum vitae (CV) completion and subsequently for a decision making process in terms of CV planning and passing standards in the University. Simulations are performed through a graphical interface where also the results are presented in appropriate figures. The Project has been funded by the Call for Innovation in Education Projects of Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM) through a Project of its school Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros Industriales ETSII during the period September 2010-September 2011.

More information

Item ID: 19598
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/19598/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:19598
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 03 Feb 2014 17:33
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2017 14:03
  • Logo InvestigaM (UPM)
  • Logo GEOUP4
  • Logo Open Access
  • Open Access
  • Logo Sherpa/Romeo
    Check whether the anglo-saxon journal in which you have published an article allows you to also publish it under open access.
  • Logo Dulcinea
    Check whether the spanish journal in which you have published an article allows you to also publish it under open access.
  • Logo de Recolecta
  • Logo del Observatorio I+D+i UPM
  • Logo de OpenCourseWare UPM