The influence of heavy goods vehicle traffic on accidents on different types of Spanish interurban roads

Arenas Ramírez, Blanca del Valle and Aparicio Izquierdo, Francisco and González Fernández, María Camino and Gómez Méndez, Álvaro (2009). The influence of heavy goods vehicle traffic on accidents on different types of Spanish interurban roads. "Accident Analysis and Prevention", v. 41 (n. 1); pp. 15-24. ISSN 0001-4575. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2008.07.016.

Description

Title: The influence of heavy goods vehicle traffic on accidents on different types of Spanish interurban roads
Author/s:
  • Arenas Ramírez, Blanca del Valle
  • Aparicio Izquierdo, Francisco
  • González Fernández, María Camino
  • Gómez Méndez, Álvaro
Item Type: Article
Título de Revista/Publicación: Accident Analysis and Prevention
Date: January 2009
ISSN: 0001-4575
Volume: 41
Subjects:
Freetext Keywords: Generalized linear models Prediction Heavy goods vehicles
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Industriales (UPM)
Department: Ingeniería de Organización, Administración de Empresas y Estadística
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

Full text

[img]
Preview
PDF - Requires a PDF viewer, such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
Download (3MB) | Preview

Abstract

This paper illustrates a methodology developed to analyze the influence of traffic conditions, i.e. volume and composition on accidents on different types of interurban roads in Spain, by applying negative binomial models. The annual average daily traffic was identified as the most important variable, followed by the percentage of heavy goods vehicles, and different covariate patterns were found for each road type. The analysis of hypothetical scenarios of the reduction of heavy goods vehicles in two of the most representative freight transportation corridors, combined with hypotheses of total daily traffic mean intensity variation, produced by the existence or absence of induced traffic gives rise to several scenarios. In all cases a reduction in the total number of accidents would occur as a result of the drop in the number of heavy goods transport vehicles, However the higher traffic intensity, resulting of the induction of other vehicular traffic, reduces the effects on the number of accidents on single carriageway road segments compared with high capacity roads, due to the increase in exposure. This type of analysis provides objective elements for evaluating policies that encourage modal shifts and road safety enhancements.

More information

Item ID: 2189
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/2189/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:2189
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2008.07.016
Official URL: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/336/description
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 05 Feb 2010 12:07
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2017 14:01
  • Logo InvestigaM (UPM)
  • Logo GEOUP4
  • Logo Open Access
  • Open Access
  • Logo Sherpa/Romeo
    Check whether the anglo-saxon journal in which you have published an article allows you to also publish it under open access.
  • Logo Dulcinea
    Check whether the spanish journal in which you have published an article allows you to also publish it under open access.
  • Logo de Recolecta
  • Logo del Observatorio I+D+i UPM
  • Logo de OpenCourseWare UPM