A methodology to compute emission projections from road transport (EmiTRANS)

Lumbreras Martin, Julio and Borge García, Rafael and Guijarro Lomeña, Alberto and López Martínez, José María and Rodríguez Hurtado, María Encarnación (2014). A methodology to compute emission projections from road transport (EmiTRANS). "Technological Forecasting & Social Change", v. 81 ; pp. 165-176. ISSN 0040-1625. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.02.011.


Title: A methodology to compute emission projections from road transport (EmiTRANS)
  • Lumbreras Martin, Julio
  • Borge García, Rafael
  • Guijarro Lomeña, Alberto
  • López Martínez, José María
  • Rodríguez Hurtado, María Encarnación
Item Type: Article
Título de Revista/Publicación: Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Date: January 2014
ISSN: 0040-1625
Volume: 81
Freetext Keywords: Road transport; Emission; EmiTRANS; Policies and measures; Sensitivity analysis; Emission projections
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Industriales (UPM)
Department: Ingeniería Química Industrial y del Medio Ambiente
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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Atmospheric emissions from road transport have increased all around the world during the last decades more rapidly than from other pollution sources. For instance, they contribute to more than 25% of total CO, CO2, NOx, and fine particle emissions in most of the European countries. This situation shows the importance of road transport when complying with emission ceilings and air quality standards applied to these pollutants. This paper presents a modelling system to perform atmospheric emission projections (simultaneously both air quality pollutants and greenhouse gases) from road transport including the development of a tailored software tool (EmiTRANS) as a planning tool. The methodology has been developed with two purposes: 1) to obtain outputs used as inputs to the COPERT4 software to calculate emission projections and 2) to summarize outputs for policy making evaluating the effect of emission abatement measures for a vehicle fleet. This methodology has been applied to the calculation of emission projections in Spain up to 2020 under several scenarios, including a sensitivity analysis useful for a better interpretation and confidence building on the results. This case study demonstrates the EmiTRANS applicability to a country, and points out the need for combining both technical and non-technical measures (such as behavioural changes or demand management) to reduce emissions, indirectly improving air quality and contributing to mitigate climate change.

Funding Projects

Government of SpainA 119/ 2007/1-13.3EmiTRANSUniversidad Politécnica de MadridDesarrollo de una herramienta integral para el cálculo de proyecciones de emisión de contaminantes en el transporte por carretera (EmiTRANS)

More information

Item ID: 35811
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/35811/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:35811
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.02.011
Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162513000371
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 16 Mar 2016 09:00
Last Modified: 01 Sep 2017 18:05
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