Evolution of extreme temperature events in short term climate projection for Iberian Peninsula

Rodríguez Sánchez, Alfredo and Tarquis Alfonso, Ana Maria and Sánchez, Enrique and Dosio, Alessandro and Ruiz Ramos, Margarita (2014). Evolution of extreme temperature events in short term climate projection for Iberian Peninsula. In: "EGU General Assembly 2014", 27/04/2014-2/05/2014, Viena (Austria). p. 1.

Description

Title: Evolution of extreme temperature events in short term climate projection for Iberian Peninsula
Author/s:
  • Rodríguez Sánchez, Alfredo
  • Tarquis Alfonso, Ana Maria
  • Sánchez, Enrique
  • Dosio, Alessandro
  • Ruiz Ramos, Margarita
Item Type: Presentation at Congress or Conference (Other)
Event Title: EGU General Assembly 2014
Event Dates: 27/04/2014-2/05/2014
Event Location: Viena (Austria)
Title of Book: European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2014
Date: 2014
Subjects:
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Agrónomos (UPM) [antigua denominación]
Department: Producción Vegetal: Botánica y Protección Vegetal [hasta 2014]
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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Abstract

Extreme events of maximum and minimum temperatures are a main hazard for agricultural production in Iberian Peninsula. For this purpose, in this study we analyze projections of their evolution that could be valid for the next decade, represented in this study by the 30-year period 2004-2034 (target period). For this purpose two kinds of data were used in this study: 1) observations from the station network of AEMET (Spanish National Meteorological Agency) for five Spanish locations, and 2) simulated data at a resolution of 50 50 km horizontal grid derived from the outputs of twelve Regional Climate Models (RCMs) taken from project ENSEMBLES (van der Linden and Mitchell, 2009), with a bias correction (Dosio and Paruolo, 2011; Dosio et al., 2012) regarding the observational dataset Spain02 (Herrera et al., 2012). To validate the simulated climate, the available period of observations was compared to a baseline period (1964-1994) of simulated climate for all locations. Then, to analyze the changes for the present/very next future, probability of extreme temperature events for 2004-2034 were compared to that of the baseline period. Although only minor changes are expected, small variations in variability may have a significant impact in crop performance.

More information

Item ID: 37053
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/37053/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:37053
Official URL: http://www.egu2014.eu/
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 31 Jul 2015 14:33
Last Modified: 31 Jul 2015 14:33
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