Quantifying the risk of deforestation in Latin America and the Caribbean

Manners, Rhys and Varela Ortega, Consuelo (2015). Quantifying the risk of deforestation in Latin America and the Caribbean. In: "EGU General Assembly 2015", 14/04/2015-17/04/2015, Viena. p. 1.

Description

Title: Quantifying the risk of deforestation in Latin America and the Caribbean
Author/s:
  • Manners, Rhys
  • Varela Ortega, Consuelo
Item Type: Presentation at Congress or Conference (Other)
Event Title: EGU General Assembly 2015
Event Dates: 14/04/2015-17/04/2015
Event Location: Viena
Title of Book: Geophysical Research Abstracts
Date: 2015
Subjects:
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Agrónomos (UPM) [antigua denominación]
Department: Economía Agraria, Estadística y Gestión de Empresas
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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Abstract

Latin American and Caribbean countries have seen considerable deforestation due to a complex web of interconnected and interdependent causes, which include agricultural expansion, infrastructure development, social demographics and governmental policies and activity. It is necessary for successful and efficient policy development to understand how variability in these causes can potentially result in increased or decreased deforestation. The purpose of this study is to develop a tool that can quantify the risk, as in the threat or pressure, of potential deforestation, whilst identifying the key indicators that contribute to this risk. This tool will take the form of a composite index that will provide spatial and temporal trends of deforestation risk across Latin America and the Caribbean. The development of the Deforestation Risk Index (DRI) was based upon work performed in the EU project ROBIN1. Indicators of deforestation included in the index were identified based upon the multi-scalar approach adopted in ROBIN- nationally from principal component analysis and econometric modelling, provincially from extensive interviews with experts and farmers (subsistence and commercial) in Amazonian regions of Bolivia and Brazil, and locally from stakeholder workshops in Bolivia, Brazil and Mexico. The identification process was supported by an extensive literature review. In total, 11 indicators were identified and grouped into four components (biophysical, economic, governance and social) capable of explaining the risk of deforestation in Latin America and Caribbean countries.

More information

Item ID: 41898
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/41898/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:41898
Official URL: http://www.geophysical-research-abstracts.net/egu2015.html
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 08 Jul 2016 15:31
Last Modified: 08 Jul 2016 15:31
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