What role does climate change play in agricultural market uncertainty? An integrated assessment taking into account market-driven adjustments

Martínez Muñoz, Pilar; Blanco Fonseca, Maria; Van Doorslaer, Benjamin; Ramos, Fabien y Stanca Trufas, Lucian Emanuel (2015). What role does climate change play in agricultural market uncertainty? An integrated assessment taking into account market-driven adjustments. En: "29th ICAE", 08/08/2015-14/08/2015, Milan, Italy. p. 20.

Descripción

Título: What role does climate change play in agricultural market uncertainty? An integrated assessment taking into account market-driven adjustments
Autor/es:
  • Martínez Muñoz, Pilar
  • Blanco Fonseca, Maria
  • Van Doorslaer, Benjamin
  • Ramos, Fabien
  • Stanca Trufas, Lucian Emanuel
Tipo de Documento: Ponencia en Congreso o Jornada (Artículo)
Título del Evento: 29th ICAE
Fechas del Evento: 08/08/2015-14/08/2015
Lugar del Evento: Milan, Italy
Título del Libro: Agriculture in an Interconnected World
Fecha: 2015
Materias:
Escuela: E.T.S.I. Agrónomos (UPM) [antigua denominación]
Departamento: Economía Agraria, Estadística y Gestión de Empresas
Licencias Creative Commons: Reconocimiento - Sin obra derivada - No comercial

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Resumen

Recent studies point to climate change being one of the long-term drivers of agricultural market uncertainty. To advance in the understanding of the influence of climate change on future agricultural market developments, we compare a reference scenario for 2030 with alternative simulation scenarios that differ regarding: (1) emission scenarios; (2) climate projections; and (3) the consideration of carbon fertilization effects. For each simulation scenario, the CAPRI model provides global and EU-wide impacts of climate change on agricultural markets. Results show that climate change would considerably affect agrifood markets up to 2030. Nevertheless, market-driven adaptation strategies (production intensification, trade adjustments) would soften the impact of yield shocks on supply and demand. As a result, regional changes in production would be lower than foreseen by other studies focused on supply effects.

Más información

ID de Registro: 42098
Identificador DC: http://oa.upm.es/42098/
Identificador OAI: oai:oa.upm.es:42098
URL Oficial: http://www.icae2015.org/?q=content/welcome-icae-2015
Depositado por: Memoria Investigacion
Depositado el: 28 Jun 2016 16:57
Ultima Modificación: 28 Jun 2016 16:57
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