Detailed predictions of climate induced changes in the thermal and flow regimes in mountain streams of the Iberian Peninsula

Santiago Saez, Jose Maria; Muñoz Más, Rafael; García de Jalón Lastra, Diego; Solana Gutierrez, Joaquin; Alonso González, Carlos; Martínez-Capel, Francisco; Ribalaygua Batalla, Jaime; Pórtoles, Javier y Monjo, Robert (2016). Detailed predictions of climate induced changes in the thermal and flow regimes in mountain streams of the Iberian Peninsula. En: "European Geosciences Union. EGU General Assembly 2016", 17-22 Abril 2016, Viena, Austria. p. 17143.

Descripción

Título: Detailed predictions of climate induced changes in the thermal and flow regimes in mountain streams of the Iberian Peninsula
Autor/es:
  • Santiago Saez, Jose Maria
  • Muñoz Más, Rafael
  • García de Jalón Lastra, Diego
  • Solana Gutierrez, Joaquin
  • Alonso González, Carlos
  • Martínez-Capel, Francisco
  • Ribalaygua Batalla, Jaime
  • Pórtoles, Javier
  • Monjo, Robert
Tipo de Documento: Ponencia en Congreso o Jornada (Póster)
Título del Evento: European Geosciences Union. EGU General Assembly 2016
Fechas del Evento: 17-22 Abril 2016
Lugar del Evento: Viena, Austria
Título del Libro: Geophysical Research Abstracts
Fecha: 2016
Volumen: Vol.18
Materias:
Palabras Clave Informales: Cambio climático, Ríos de montaña, Región Central de la Península Ibérica.
Escuela: E.T.S.I. Montes, Forestal y del Medio Natural (UPM)
Departamento: Otro
Licencias Creative Commons: Reconocimiento - Sin obra derivada - No comercial

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Resumen

The present study aimed at predicting the effects of climate change on the thermal and flow regime in the Iberian Peninsula, refining the resolution of previous studies. For this purpose, the study encompassed 28 sites at eight different mountain rivers and streams in the central part of the Iberian Peninsula (Spain). The daily flow was modelled using different daily, monthly and quarterly lags of the historical precipitation and temperature time series. These precipitation-runoff models were developed by means of M5 model trees. On the other hand water temperature was modelled at similar time scale by means of nonlinear regression from dedicated site-specific data. The developed models were used to simulate the temperature and flow regime under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs) climate change scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) until the end of the present century by considering nine different GCMs, which were pertinently downscaled.

Más información

ID de Registro: 43651
Identificador DC: http://oa.upm.es/43651/
Identificador OAI: oai:oa.upm.es:43651
Depositado por: Memoria Investigacion
Depositado el: 27 Mar 2017 15:51
Ultima Modificación: 27 Mar 2017 15:51
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