Detailed predictions of climate induced changes in the thermal and flow regimes in mountain streams of the Iberian Peninsula

Santiago Saez, Jose Maria and Muñoz Más, Rafael and García de Jalón Lastra, Diego and Solana Gutierrez, Joaquin and Alonso González, Carlos and Martínez-Capel, Francisco and Ribalaygua Batalla, Jaime and Pórtoles, Javier and Monjo, Robert (2016). Detailed predictions of climate induced changes in the thermal and flow regimes in mountain streams of the Iberian Peninsula. In: "European Geosciences Union. EGU General Assembly 2016", 17-22 Abril 2016, Viena, Austria. p. 17143.

Description

Title: Detailed predictions of climate induced changes in the thermal and flow regimes in mountain streams of the Iberian Peninsula
Author/s:
  • Santiago Saez, Jose Maria
  • Muñoz Más, Rafael
  • García de Jalón Lastra, Diego
  • Solana Gutierrez, Joaquin
  • Alonso González, Carlos
  • Martínez-Capel, Francisco
  • Ribalaygua Batalla, Jaime
  • Pórtoles, Javier
  • Monjo, Robert
Item Type: Presentation at Congress or Conference (Poster)
Event Title: European Geosciences Union. EGU General Assembly 2016
Event Dates: 17-22 Abril 2016
Event Location: Viena, Austria
Title of Book: Geophysical Research Abstracts
Date: 2016
Volume: Vol.18
Subjects:
Freetext Keywords: Cambio climático, Ríos de montaña, Región Central de la Península Ibérica.
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Montes, Forestal y del Medio Natural (UPM)
Department: Otro
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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Abstract

The present study aimed at predicting the effects of climate change on the thermal and flow regime in the Iberian Peninsula, refining the resolution of previous studies. For this purpose, the study encompassed 28 sites at eight different mountain rivers and streams in the central part of the Iberian Peninsula (Spain). The daily flow was modelled using different daily, monthly and quarterly lags of the historical precipitation and temperature time series. These precipitation-runoff models were developed by means of M5 model trees. On the other hand water temperature was modelled at similar time scale by means of nonlinear regression from dedicated site-specific data. The developed models were used to simulate the temperature and flow regime under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs) climate change scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) until the end of the present century by considering nine different GCMs, which were pertinently downscaled.

More information

Item ID: 43651
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/43651/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:43651
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 27 Mar 2017 15:51
Last Modified: 27 Mar 2017 15:51
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