Measuring Uncertainty of Traffic Volume on Motorway Concessions: A Time-Series Analysis

Sánchez Soliño, Antonio and Lara Galera, Antonio Lorenzo and Cabero Colín, Fernando (2017). Measuring Uncertainty of Traffic Volume on Motorway Concessions: A Time-Series Analysis. In: "20th EURO Working Group on Transportation Meeting (EWGT) 2017,", 4-6 septiembre 2017, Budapest, Hungría. pp. 3-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2017.12.006.

Description

Title: Measuring Uncertainty of Traffic Volume on Motorway Concessions: A Time-Series Analysis
Author/s:
  • Sánchez Soliño, Antonio
  • Lara Galera, Antonio Lorenzo
  • Cabero Colín, Fernando
Item Type: Presentation at Congress or Conference (Other)
Event Title: 20th EURO Working Group on Transportation Meeting (EWGT) 2017,
Event Dates: 4-6 septiembre 2017
Event Location: Budapest, Hungría
Title of Book: Transportation Research Procedia
Date: 2017
Volume: 27
Subjects:
Freetext Keywords: Traffic, Motorway, Time-Series, Unit Root, Concession
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Caminos, Canales y Puertos (UPM)
Department: Ingeniería Civil: Construcción
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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Abstract

This paper presents a method to build up a confidence interval for the evolution of traffic in motorway concessions, based on a univariate time-series model. The main advantage of this method, compared to traditional traffic models, is that it allows to avoid the error in the prediction of the explanatory variables. The results obtained show that the use of a time-series model represents a feasible alternative to assess traffic uncertainty in existing concessions, when long series of traffic data are available.

More information

Item ID: 50067
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/50067/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:50067
DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2017.12.006
Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352146517309031
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 17 Apr 2018 16:52
Last Modified: 18 Apr 2018 14:13
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