Sensitivity of Agricultural Development to Water-Related Drivers: The Case of Andalusia (Spain)

Martinez, Pilar and Blanco Fonseca, Maria (2019). Sensitivity of Agricultural Development to Water-Related Drivers: The Case of Andalusia (Spain). "Water", v. 11 (n. 9); p. 1854. ISSN 2073-4441. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11091854.

Description

Title: Sensitivity of Agricultural Development to Water-Related Drivers: The Case of Andalusia (Spain)
Author/s:
  • Martinez, Pilar
  • Blanco Fonseca, Maria
Item Type: Article
Título de Revista/Publicación: Water
Date: 5 September 2019
ISSN: 2073-4441
Volume: 11
Subjects:
Faculty: E.T.S. de Ingeniería Agronómica, Alimentaria y de Biosistemas (UPM)
Department: Economía Agraria, Estadística y Gestión de Empresas
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - Non commercial - Share

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Abstract

Future agricultural development will be challenged by the impacts of climate change on water, which are expected to be particularly strong in southern European regions. Thus, exploring interrelations between agriculture and water under climate change is essential to frame informed policies that ensure sustainable water management while enhancing food production. Nevertheless, studies that address future agriculture development focus on climate-induced changes in crop productivity and often disregard the water dimension. In this research, we have conducted a sensitivity analysis of agricultural development to drivers of water use in Andalusia in 2050 based on outcomes from the CAPRI-Water model. The results from the analysis show that water cost is the most determinant factor in shaping agricultural land, offsetting the impact of the driver of water availability. In contrast, irrigation water use is driven not only by water cost but also by irrigation efficiency. The magnitude of the sensitivity to these drivers differs significantly across crops. Policies aimed at improving resource use efficiency can contribute to strengthening the resilience and adaptation capacity of future agricultural systems to climate change. To achieve this goal, the policies must consider crop sensitivity to irrigation costs and the potential rebound effect.

Funding Projects

TypeCodeAcronymLeaderTitle
Horizon 2020689150SIM4NEXUSMaria BlancoSustainable Integrated Management FOR the NEXUS of water-land-food-energy-climate for a resource-efficient Europe
Government of SpainECO2015-64438-RSYNERCAPMaria BlancoSynergies between agricultural and environmental policies aiming at the sustainability of Mediterranean agrosystems

More information

Item ID: 65173
DC Identifier: http://oa.upm.es/65173/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:65173
DOI: 10.3390/w11091854
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11091854
Deposited by: Prof. Maria Blanco
Deposited on: 03 Nov 2020 09:28
Last Modified: 03 Nov 2020 09:29
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