Exploring recent long-distance passenger travel trends in Europe

Aparicio Mourelo, Ángel (2016). Exploring recent long-distance passenger travel trends in Europe. "Transportation Research Procedia", v. 14 ; pp. 3199-3208. ISSN 2352-1465. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2016.05.262.


Title: Exploring recent long-distance passenger travel trends in Europe
  • Aparicio Mourelo, Ángel
Item Type: Article
Título de Revista/Publicación: Transportation Research Procedia
Date: June 2016
ISSN: 2352-1465
Volume: 14
Faculty: E.T.S.I. Caminos, Canales y Puertos (UPM)
Department: Ingeniería Civil: Transporte y Territorio
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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This paper reviews recent trends in long-distance passenger travel in Europe. Its purpose is to explore whether some early signals for peak travel in long-distance transport can be identified and if so, which could be the options for a consistent policy action. For the sake of simplicity, only car and air modes are considered. The analysis is based on previous research conducted for the preparation of the recent report of the European Environment Agency (EEA), "Focusing on environmental pressures from long-distance transport - TERM 2014" (EEA, 2014). Passenger travel demand data at the national level show striking differences among European countries. Beyond the traditional divide between "new" and "old" EU member states, it seems that differences respond to a much richer variety of traits, including the size of the country, per capita GDP trends and the characteristics of the population. It is within this complex geographical background that the influence of three traditional key drivers should be explored: population, disposable income and lifestyles. Although there are good arguments to conclude that peaking in long-distance transport demand could be reached in an increasing number of European countries, there are also significant forces to further expand demand. Furthermore, it is worth highlighting that peaking, if materialised, would be happening at levels too high to be compatible with GHG emission reduction targets. The paper concludes that there are positive signs in the recent trends of these drivers indicating that they would not result in additional mobility demand. However, these trends could be neutralised by other factors, such as the strategies of European transport policy makers and operators to foster latent demand and expand their markets, this is illustrated by current strategies of air travel operators and some regional governments to further develop low-cost, regional airport-based services.

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Item ID: 45787
DC Identifier: https://oa.upm.es/45787/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:45787
DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2016.05.262
Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235214651630268X
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 10 May 2017 12:48
Last Modified: 12 May 2020 09:18
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