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Measuring Uncertainty of Traffic Volume on Motorway Concessions: A Time-Series Analysis
Citation
Sánchez Soliño, Antonio and Lara Galera, Antonio Lorenzo and Cabero Colín, Fernando (2017). Measuring Uncertainty of Traffic Volume on Motorway Concessions: A Time-Series Analysis. In: "20th EURO Working Group on Transportation Meeting (EWGT) 2017,", 4-6 septiembre 2017, Budapest, Hungría. pp. 3-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2017.12.006.
Description
| Title: | Measuring Uncertainty of Traffic Volume on Motorway Concessions: A Time-Series Analysis |
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| Author/s: |
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| Item Type: | Presentation at Congress or Conference (Other) |
| Event Title: | 20th EURO Working Group on Transportation Meeting (EWGT) 2017, |
| Event Dates: | 4-6 septiembre 2017 |
| Event Location: | Budapest, Hungría |
| Title of Book: | Transportation Research Procedia |
| Date: | 2017 |
| Volume: | 27 |
| Subjects: | |
| Freetext Keywords: | Traffic, Motorway, Time-Series, Unit Root, Concession |
| Faculty: | E.T.S.I. Caminos, Canales y Puertos (UPM) |
| Department: | Ingeniería Civil: Construcción |
| Creative Commons Licenses: | Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial |
Abstract
This paper presents a method to build up a confidence interval for the evolution of traffic in motorway concessions, based on a univariate time-series model. The main advantage of this method, compared to traditional traffic models, is that it allows to avoid the error in the prediction of the explanatory variables. The results obtained show that the use of a time-series model represents a feasible alternative to assess traffic uncertainty in existing concessions, when long series of traffic data are available.
More information
| Item ID: | 50067 |
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| DC Identifier: | https://oa.upm.es/50067/ |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:oa.upm.es:50067 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.trpro.2017.12.006 |
| Official URL: | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352146517309031 |
| Deposited by: | Memoria Investigacion |
| Deposited on: | 17 Apr 2018 16:52 |
| Last Modified: | 18 Apr 2018 14:13 |
