Hourly-resolution analysis of electricity decarbonization in Spain (2017–2030)

Victoria, Marta and Gallego Castillo, Cristobal José (2019). Hourly-resolution analysis of electricity decarbonization in Spain (2017–2030). "Applied Energy", v. 233-23 (n. 1); pp. 674-690. ISSN 0306-2619. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.055.


Title: Hourly-resolution analysis of electricity decarbonization in Spain (2017–2030)
  • Victoria, Marta
  • Gallego Castillo, Cristobal José
Item Type: Article
Título de Revista/Publicación: Applied Energy
Date: January 2019
ISSN: 0306-2619
Volume: 233-23
Freetext Keywords: Energy modeling; Energy analysis; 100% renewable power system; Renewable grid integration; Time series analysis; Spain
Faculty: E.T.S.I. y Sistemas de Telecomunicación (UPM)
Department: Ingeniería Telemática y Electrónica
Creative Commons Licenses: Recognition - No derivative works - Non commercial

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Two alternative paths to achieve highly-renewable electricity generation in peninsular Spain are investigated in this paper. Every transition path comprises a description of the installed and decommissioned generation and storage capacities, from 2017 to 2030, as well as a hypothesis on the evolution of the electricity demand. The electricity mix for every hour within the transition path is determined through a dispatch algorithm that prioritizes electricity from renewable energy sources. The simulation is run for 900 different combinations of time series representing the hourly capacity factors of different technologies, as well as the electricity demand. This robust approach allows the evaluation of the transition paths based on the statistical distribution of several defined assessment criteria, such as security of supply, CO2 emissions or renewable share in electricity generation. The feasibility of a Spanish power system with high renewable penetration is investigated not only in a future reference year but throughout the transition path. In particular, a progressive and simultaneous phase-out of nuclear and coal power plants in the short-term is proven to be feasible. Furthermore, the results sensitivity is analyzed including scenarios with a delayed nuclear phase-out, lower hydroelectricity generation due to more frequent and severe droughts caused by climate change and higher annual increment for the electricity demand.

More information

Item ID: 64352
DC Identifier: https://oa.upm.es/64352/
OAI Identifier: oai:oa.upm.es:64352
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.055
Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918316155?via%3Dihub
Deposited by: Memoria Investigacion
Deposited on: 26 Jan 2021 11:03
Last Modified: 31 Jan 2021 23:30
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