eprintid: 41898 rev_number: 7 eprint_status: archive userid: 1903 dir: disk0/00/04/18/98 datestamp: 2016-07-08 15:31:18 lastmod: 2016-07-08 15:31:18 status_changed: 2016-07-08 15:31:18 type: conference_item metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Manners, Rhys creators_name: Varela Ortega, Consuelo title: Quantifying the risk of deforestation in Latin America and the Caribbean rights: by-nc-nd ispublished: pub subjects: agricultura full_text_status: public pres_type: other abstract: Latin American and Caribbean countries have seen considerable deforestation due to a complex web of interconnected and interdependent causes, which include agricultural expansion, infrastructure development, social demographics and governmental policies and activity. It is necessary for successful and efficient policy development to understand how variability in these causes can potentially result in increased or decreased deforestation. The purpose of this study is to develop a tool that can quantify the risk, as in the threat or pressure, of potential deforestation, whilst identifying the key indicators that contribute to this risk. This tool will take the form of a composite index that will provide spatial and temporal trends of deforestation risk across Latin America and the Caribbean. The development of the Deforestation Risk Index (DRI) was based upon work performed in the EU project ROBIN1. Indicators of deforestation included in the index were identified based upon the multi-scalar approach adopted in ROBIN- nationally from principal component analysis and econometric modelling, provincially from extensive interviews with experts and farmers (subsistence and commercial) in Amazonian regions of Bolivia and Brazil, and locally from stakeholder workshops in Bolivia, Brazil and Mexico. The identification process was supported by an extensive literature review. In total, 11 indicators were identified and grouped into four components (biophysical, economic, governance and social) capable of explaining the risk of deforestation in Latin America and Caribbean countries. date_type: published date: 2015 pagerange: 1 event_title: EGU General Assembly 2015 event_location: Viena event_dates: 14/04/2015-17/04/2015 event_type: other institution: Agronomos department: Economia_2014 refereed: TRUE book_title: Geophysical Research Abstracts official_url: http://www.geophysical-research-abstracts.net/egu2015.html citation: Manners, Rhys and Varela Ortega, Consuelo (2015). Quantifying the risk of deforestation in Latin America and the Caribbean. In: "EGU General Assembly 2015", 14/04/2015-17/04/2015, Viena. p. 1. document_url: https://oa.upm.es/41898/1/INVE_MEM_2015_223728.pdf