Risk-based methodology for parameter calibration of a reservoir flood control model

Bianucci, Sandra Paola; Sordo Ward, Alvaro; Pérez Díaz, Juan Ignacio; García-Palacios, Jaime H.; Mediero Orduña, Luis y Garrote de Marcos, Luis (2013). Risk-based methodology for parameter calibration of a reservoir flood control model. "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences", v. 13 (n. 4); pp. 965-981. ISSN 1561-8633.

Descripción

Título: Risk-based methodology for parameter calibration of a reservoir flood control model
Autor/es:
  • Bianucci, Sandra Paola
  • Sordo Ward, Alvaro
  • Pérez Díaz, Juan Ignacio
  • García-Palacios, Jaime H.
  • Mediero Orduña, Luis
  • Garrote de Marcos, Luis
Tipo de Documento: Artículo
Título de Revista/Publicación: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Fecha: 18 Abril 2013
Volumen: 13
Materias:
Escuela: E.T.S.I. Caminos, Canales y Puertos (UPM)
Departamento: Ingeniería Civil: Hidráulica y Energética [hasta 2014]
Licencias Creative Commons: Reconocimiento - Sin obra derivada - No comercial

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Resumen

Flash floods are of major relevance in natural disaster management in the Mediterranean region. In many cases, the damaging effects of flash floods can be mitigated by adequate management of flood control reservoirs. This requires the development of suitable models for optimal operation of reservoirs. A probabilistic methodology for calibrating the parameters of a reservoir flood control model (RFCM) that takes into account the stochastic variability of flood events is presented. This study addresses the crucial problem of operating reservoirs during flood events, considering downstream river damages and dam failure risk as conflicting operation criteria. These two criteria are aggregated into a single objective of total expected damages from both the maximum released flows and stored volumes (overall risk index). For each selected parameter set the RFCM is run under a wide range of hydrologic loads (determined through Monte Carlo simulation). The optimal parameter set is obtained through the overall risk index (balanced solution) and then compared with other solutions of the Pareto front. The proposed methodology is implemented at three different reservoirs in the southeast of Spain. The results obtained show that the balanced solution offers a good compromise between the two main objectives of reservoir flood control management

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ID de Registro: 29478
Identificador DC: http://oa.upm.es/29478/
Identificador OAI: oai:oa.upm.es:29478
Depositado por: Memoria Investigacion
Depositado el: 25 Jun 2014 07:43
Ultima Modificación: 17 Abr 2015 14:41
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