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Unemployment and Fertility: A Long Run Relationship
Cita
Fernández-Crehuet, José María 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2175-0121, Gil-Alana, Luis ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5760-3123 and Martí Barco, Cristina
(2020).
Unemployment and Fertility: A Long Run Relationship.
"Social Indicators Research", v. 152
(n. 3);
pp. 1177-1196.
ISSN 0303-8300.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02468-8.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2175-0121, Gil-Alana, Luis ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5760-3123 and Martí Barco, Cristina
(2020).
Unemployment and Fertility: A Long Run Relationship.
"Social Indicators Research", v. 152
(n. 3);
pp. 1177-1196.
ISSN 0303-8300.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02468-8.
Descripción
| Título: | Unemployment and Fertility: A Long Run Relationship |
|---|---|
| Autor/es: |
|
| Tipo de Documento: | Artículo |
| Título de Revista/Publicación: | Social Indicators Research |
| Fecha: | 16 Agosto 2020 |
| ISSN: | 0303-8300 |
| Volumen: | 152 |
| Número: | 3 |
| Materias: | |
| ODS: | |
| Palabras Clave Informales: | Cointegration analysis; exponential model; FEMALE EMPLOYMENT; Fertility rate; Fractional cointegration; Fractional integration; FRACTIONAL-INTEGRATION; Hysteresis; LONG MEMORY; structural breaks; Time-Series; Unemployment rate; UNIT-ROOT; Us; WOMENS EMPLOYMENT |
| Escuela: | E.T.S.I. Industriales (UPM) |
| Departamento: | Ingeniería de Organización, Administración de Empresas y Estadística |
| Licencias Creative Commons: | Ninguna |
Resumen
The paper examines the relationship between the unemployment rate and the fertility rate in a number of European countries along with Japan and the US. We use fractional integration and cointegration techniques to establish this long run relationship. The analysis shed some light on the degree of persistence of the series, and on whether policy actions are required for highly persistent series. The evidence suggests that these two variables (unemployment and fertility rates) are not related in the long run. However, in the short run, assuming that unemployment rate is weakly exogenous, the coefficient relating the two variables is found to be negative in four countries: the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and the US.
Proyectos asociados
Tipo
Código
Acrónimo
Responsable
Título
Gobierno de España
ECO2017‑85503‑R
Sin especificar
Sin especificar
Integración fraccional, procesos de memoria larga y no linealidades en series de tiempo. Evidencia en los países en vías de desarrollo.
Más información
| ID de Registro: | 91710 |
|---|---|
| Identificador DC: | https://oa.upm.es/91710/ |
| Identificador OAI: | oai:oa.upm.es:91710 |
| URL Portal Científico: | https://portalcientifico.upm.es/es/ipublic/item/8120880 |
| Identificador DOI: | 10.1007/s11205-020-02468-8 |
| URL Oficial: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02468-8 |
| Depositado por: | iMarina Portal Científico |
| Depositado el: | 31 Oct 2025 12:36 |
| Ultima Modificación: | 31 Oct 2025 12:36 |
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